Likelihood high tropical system will develop in Gulf of Mexico

Likelihood high tropical system will develop in Gulf of Mexico

There's a 60% chance of the storm being named in the next 5 days.

Satellite data and surface observations indicated that a broad low-pressure area had formed over the Gulf of Honduras, and the associated precipitation activity was showing signs of organization.

Over the next 48 hours, the system has a 20 percent chance of developing in to a tropical cyclone and a 70 percent chance of becoming a cyclone over the next five days.

A chance for storms will stay with us for much of the week, as we watch the Gulf of Mexico for tropical development.

The hurricane center said the system will continue to bring the potential for heavy rain to parts of Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Cayman Islands.

A hurricane hunter aircraft may fly the disturbance Sunday afternoon in search of a closed circulation.

Justus says the system is forecast to move north toward the United States by Tuesday and Wednesday. But, we will get a surge of tropical moisture affiliated with this system; boosting our local rain chance.

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A large tropical wave has rolled off the coast and is now moving through the central Atlantic Ocean.

Closer to South Florida than Potential Tropical Cyclone Two is the weather disturbance that's expected to form and move into the Gulf of Mexico. Notice how the heaviest rain totals are to our east.

The tropical season began June 1. The most likely scenario is for a weak and highly disorganized tropical storm to slowly develop by early next week. This is considered "Potential Tropical Storm Three".

Areas of interest include Barbados, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

The next two hurricane names would be Bret and Cindy.

The National Hurricane Center says the storm, which formed Monday afternoon, has maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour (65 km/h) with higher gusts.

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