Weak tropical system likely to develop in the Gulf of Mexico

While its organization hasn't changed much since Friday, some development is projected to happen during the next few days before tropical cyclone formation conditions dwindle.

The hurricane center thinks it will continue to get its act together and said a tropical or subtropical depression or storm is likely to form by Monday or Tuesday after it gets into the Gulf.

A hurricane hunter aircraft is expected to investigate the disturbance on Sunday, if necessary, which Hathaway said is standard protocol.

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If these two systems strengthen into tropical storms, the next names on the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Names list will be Bret and Cindy. Forecast models have been scattered, showing movement anywhere from near Brownsville, Texas, to as far east as Mobile, Ala., the Weather Service said. Once there's a well-defined center of low-level circulation, and hurricane hunters collect data on the storm, the models and resulting forecast for this potential system will become more detailed. Right now it has a medium chance of development as it moves west toward northern South America and the eastern Caribbean Sea next week.

The area of low pressure which brought about early Sunday showers and thunderstorms will continue drifting south and out over the waters of the open Gulf later Sunday.

The next updated forecast will be issued at 2 p.m. Other models drift the system due north into the open Gulf of Mexico. At this time, it is moving west northwest at 15-20 miles per hour over the tropical Atlantic. It is entirely possible that a Tropical Storm will make landfall somewhere along the Gulf Coast; likely between Tampico, Mexico, and Mobile, Alabama, during the middle of the work-week. And the wave approaching the SE Caribbean will be battling a good deal of shear in the coming days making any sustained development slow, at best.

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